A Shield in Space?

  Preface
  Acronyms and Abbreviations

 collapse sectionChapter 1  Why SDI?
 The Novelty Of SDI
 The Political Background
 The Role Of Edward Teller
 Bypassing The "Establishment"
 The Import Of The March 23 Speech
 The Strategic Rationale For The SDI
 The Economic Rationale
 The Political Rationale
 Adjusting The Focus
 The SDI In Perspective
 collapse sectionChapter 2  The Elusive Quest For Strategic Defenses Lessons of Recent History
 The United States' Defensive Effort From The 1950s To 1975
 The Soviet Effort In Defensive Systems
 Why The Different Approaches?
 The Militarization Of Space
 The United States' Development Of ASATs
 The Soviet Military Space Program
 Civil Space Cooperation
 collapse sectionChapter 3 Measure for Measure The Technological Prospect
 The Proposed Technologies
 collapse sectionA Layered Defense: The SDI Architecture
 Phase I: Boost-Phase Intercept
 Phase II: Post-Boost-Phase Intercept
 Phase III: Midcourse Intercept
 Phase IV: Terminal Defense
 Battle Management
 The Testing Problem
 The Aps Study
 The Controversy Over The APS Report
 The Proposal For Early Deployment
 A More Modest Proposal: ALPS
 From "Smart Rocks" To "Brilliant Pebbles": Another Supposed Last Move
 collapse sectionWhat Might Come Of This Research? Four Possibilities
 Case 1: Great Promise
 Case 2: Some Promise
 Case 3: Little Promise
 Case 4: No Promise
 collapse sectionChapter 4  A Defense Transition? SDI and Strategic Stability
 The Middle Course
 The Case For A Defense Transition
 collapse sectionFour Options
 Option I. Deterrence As Usual
 Option 2.  The Case For A Limited Deployment
 Option 3. Arms Reduction And A Moratorium On Deployment
 Option 4. Unrestricted Competition
 Is There No Better Alternative?
 collapse sectionChapter 5 "Don't Ask the Soviets. Tell Them" SDI and Arms Control
 The ABM Treaty And Salt: The Link That Failed
 From Deadlock To Dashed Hopes: The Impasse At Reykjavík
 The Political Effort To Shore Up SDI
 collapse sectionThe Terms Of The ABM Treaty
 The Testing Issue
 collapse sectionReinterpreting The Text: The Rise Of The "Legally Correct" Interpretation
 Sofaer's Case For The "Broad" Interpretation
 The Rebuttal Of The "New Interpretation"
 The Treaty And SDI Experiments
 The Disagreement At Reykjavík
 The Soviet Position
 Breaking The Impasse
 collapse sectionChapter 6 A "Maginot Line of the Twenty-first Century"? SDI and the Western Alliance
 The Initial Shock
 Mollifying Western Europe
 The "Intermediate Option" In Europe: Toward A Division Of Labor
 collapse sectionThe ATBM Issue
 Shifting Soviet Strategy
 Possible NATO Responses
 SDI And The Western Alliance: The Prospective Problems
 collapse sectionChapter 7 Deploy or Perish SDI and Domestic Politics
 Democratic Principles And The Cold War
 SDI And Earlier Military Projects: A Comparison
 The "Iron Triangle"
 The Political Auspices Of SDI
 Public Support For SDI
 Creating A Special Office: SDIO
 collapse sectionThe Debate Among The Scientists
 Scientific Judgment And Political Commitment
 Organizing A Constituency: SDIO And The Contractors
 Congress And SDI: The Battle For The Future Of The Project
 Drawing The Political Lesson
 collapse sectionChapter 8  Calculating the Costs and Benefits
 The Research Phase: Projections And Actual Appropriations
 The Present Status Of SDI
 Reorienting The "Investment Strategy"
 Gauging The Direct And Indirect Costs Of Deployment
 Projecting The Costs Of Initial Deployment
 Blechman And Utgoff's Four "Notional" Systems
 The SDIO/Marshall Institute Phase I System
 The Spin-Off Issue
 collapse sectionChapter 9  Security Through Technology An Illusory Faith
 The Effects Of Politicization: Reviewing The Evidence
 Prospects For U.S.-Soviet Agreement
 The Consequences Of A Failure To Achieve Agreement
 Motives And Consequences
 Resistance To Arms Control: The Mindset Behind SDI
 The Political System As A Corrective
 The Myth Of Technological Determinism
 Avoiding The Illusory Faith In Security Through Technology

 collapse sectionNotes
 Chapter 1 Why SDI?
 Chapter 2 The Elusive Quest For Strategic DefensesLessons of Recent History
 Chapter 3Measure for MeasureThe Technological Prospect
 Chapter 4 A Defense Transition?SDI and Strategic Stability
 Chapter 5"Don't Ask the Soviets. Tell Them"SDI and Arms Control
 Chapter 6A "Maginot Line of the Twenty-first Century"?SDI and the Western Alliance
 Chapter 7Deploy or PerishSDI and Domestic Politics
 Chapter 8 Calculating the Costs and Benefits
 Chapter 9 Security Through TechnologyAn Illusory Faith
  Select Bibliography
 collapse sectionIndex
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